- Add Score Breakdown section showing how score is calculated - Convert variable-style flag names to readable titles (e.g. UnverifiedDirectorClaim -> Unverified Director Claim) - Deduplicate flags in report display for existing reports - Make verification notes more user-friendly - Add "How Scoring Works" explanation panel Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
420 lines
13 KiB
Markdown
420 lines
13 KiB
Markdown
# TrueCV UK Market Strategy - Complete Package
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## Overview
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This directory contains the complete product strategy and implementation plan for launching TrueCV with a UK-only focus. The documents provide market analysis, feature prioritization, technical implementation details, and go-to-market strategy.
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---
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## Document Hierarchy
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### 1. **EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md** ⭐ START HERE
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**Audience:** Executives, Product Leadership, Investors
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**Purpose:** 5-minute overview of opportunity, market sizing, and financial projections
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**Key Sections:**
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- Market problem (£4.2B annual cost)
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- Competitive advantage (only player integrating HEDD)
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- Revenue projections (£113K-226K Year 1)
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- 30-day action plan
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**Read Time:** 5 minutes
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---
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### 2. **UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md**
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**Audience:** Product Managers, Engineering Leads
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**Purpose:** Detailed feature prioritization ranking detection value × implementation feasibility
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**Key Sections:**
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- Fraud patterns & detection rates
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- Available UK APIs & accessibility
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- Ranked feature list (8 features across 3 phases)
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- Implementation timeline & examples
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- Success metrics per feature
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**Read Time:** 20-30 minutes
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---
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### 3. **PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md**
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**Audience:** Backend Engineers, QA Engineers
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**Purpose:** Complete technical specifications for Phase 1 (8-week) delivery
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**Key Sections:**
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- Architecture diagrams
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- 7 complete code examples (interfaces, services, models)
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- Database schema updates
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- Test coverage requirements
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- Configuration & environment setup
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- Deployment checklist
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**Read Time:** 30-40 minutes (skim for reference)
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---
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### 4. **UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md**
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**Audience:** Product Team, Marketing, Sales
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**Purpose:** Comprehensive market analysis and go-to-market strategy
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**Key Sections:**
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- Market sizing (£2.8B UK screening market, £3.3M TrueCV TAM)
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- Competitive landscape analysis
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- 3-phase product roadmap (Q1-Q3 2026)
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- GTM strategy (4 sales channels)
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- Customer personas (3 types)
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- Unit economics & financial projections
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- Long-term vision (2-3 years, international expansion)
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**Read Time:** 30-40 minutes
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---
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### 5. **API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md**
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**Audience:** Engineering + Product (implementation phase)
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**Purpose:** Practical guide to accessing UK APIs and vendor partnerships
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**Key Sections:**
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- 11 detailed API integration guides (HEDD, GMC, NMC, Companies House, etc.)
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- Contact information for each service
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- Integration methods (API vs. scraper alternatives)
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- Timeline for access approval
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- Vendor recommendations (DBS, HMRC)
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- Email template for API requests
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- Compliance checklist
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**Read Time:** 20-30 minutes (reference document)
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---
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## Quick Navigation
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### By Role
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**Executive / Decision-Maker:**
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1. Start: EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5 min)
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2. Then: UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md - Market & GTM sections (10 min)
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3. Decision: Approve Phase 1 go-ahead
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**Product Manager:**
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1. Start: EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5 min)
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2. Then: UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md (full read)
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3. Then: UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md (full read)
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4. Then: Reference PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md & API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md as needed
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**Engineering Lead:**
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1. Start: EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5 min for context)
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2. Then: PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md (full read)
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3. Then: API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md (full read)
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4. Reference: UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md for feature specs
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**Investor / Analyst:**
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1. Start: EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md
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2. Then: UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md - Market size & financials sections
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3. Reference: UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md for technical validation
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**Sales / Marketing:**
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1. Start: EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md
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2. Then: UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md (GTM + Personas)
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3. Reference: UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md for talking points
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---
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## Key Metrics at a Glance
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### Market Opportunity
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- **TAM (Total Addressable Market):** £3.3M
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- **SAM (Serviceable Available Market):** £200-300K (Year 1)
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- **Year 1 Revenue Target:** £30-240K (conservative to growth)
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- **Break-even Customers:** 24-30 paying customers
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- **Expected Timeline to Break-even:** Month 6-7
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### Phase 1 Deliverables (8 weeks)
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| Feature | Impact | Effort | Timeline |
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| HEDD Degree Verification | 9.5/10 | 2-3 weeks | Weeks 1-3 |
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| Healthcare Register Checks | 6.5/10 | 1 week | Weeks 2-3 |
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| Enhanced Timeline Analysis | 7/10 | 1 week | Weeks 1-2 |
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| Company Director Verification | 7.5/10 | 1-2 weeks | Weeks 2-4 |
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### Success Metrics
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- **Adoption:** 500+ signups in first month
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- **Engagement:** 10%+ weekly active check rate
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- **Satisfaction:** 85%+ feature satisfaction (NPS >40)
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---
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## Fraud Detection Coverage
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| Fraud Type | Detection Rate | Phase |
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| Fake degrees | 90%+ | Phase 1 |
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| Employment date falsification | 80%+ | Phase 1 |
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| Job title inflation | Partial (manual) | Phase 1 |
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| Exaggerated qualifications | 85%+ | Phase 2 |
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| Professional registration fraud | 95%+ | Phase 2 |
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| Directorship false claims | 95%+ | Phase 1 |
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---
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## Competitive Moat
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**Why no competitor offers this:**
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1. **HEDD Integration** - Only dedicated CV tool integrating degree verification API
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2. **UK-Specific Stack** - GMC/NMC healthcare registers + Companies House directors
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3. **Timeline Fraud Detection** - Cross-linking education/employment boundary analysis
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4. **Vertical Focus** - Healthcare recruiting niche dominance (GMC/NMC)
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5. **First-Mover Advantage** - Market gap unexploited until now
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**Defensibility:**
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- Deep integrations hard to replicate (HEDD, Companies House, professional bodies)
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- Network effects once established (more data = better fraud detection)
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- Compliance/audit trail = switching costs for enterprise customers
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---
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## Critical Path Dependencies
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### Week 1 Actions (Do Now)
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- [ ] Email HEDD (partnerships@hedd.ac.uk) requesting API access
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- [ ] Email GMC requesting verification API access
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- [ ] Allocate 2 engineers to Phase 1 development
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- [ ] Recruit 3-5 beta partner agencies
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### Week 2-3
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- [ ] HEDD credential delivery (or scraper fallback)
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- [ ] Companies House enhancement development starts
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- [ ] Healthcare register scraper development starts
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- [ ] Timeline analysis enhancement starts
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### Week 4-8
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- [ ] Beta testing with agency partners
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- [ ] Public beta launch
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- [ ] Feedback iteration
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- [ ] GA release
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---
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## Financial Summary
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### Year 1 Projections (Conservative Scenario)
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**50 Customers by end of year:**
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- 30 × Professional tier (£49/mo): £1,470/mo
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- 15 × Enterprise tier (£199/mo): £2,985/mo
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- 5 × API/Platform (£1,000/mo): £5,000/mo
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- **Total MRR (Dec 2026):** £9,455
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- **Annualized Run Rate:** £113,460
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**Operating Costs:**
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- Engineering (2 FTE): £150K/year
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- Infrastructure/APIs: £20K/year
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- Sales/Marketing: £30K/year
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- Operations: £20K/year
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- **Total:** £220K/year
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**Result:** Break-even at 24 customers; profitable at 50+ customers
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### Year 2 Projections (Growth Scenario)
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**150 Customers:**
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- MRR: £28,000+
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- Annualized: £336K+
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- Gross Profit: 75% = £252K+
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---
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## Risk Mitigation
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| Risk | Probability | Severity | Mitigation |
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| HEDD API access delayed | Medium | Medium | Use web portal integration fallback |
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| GMC/NMC scraper blocked | Low | Low | Request official API proactively |
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| Market adoption slow | Medium | High | Focus on healthcare vertical first |
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| Regulatory gatekeeping | Low | Medium | Partner with established vendors early |
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| Competitive response | Medium | Medium | Maintain first-mover advantage + deepen integrations |
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---
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## Next Steps (30-Day Plan)
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### Days 1-3: Preparation
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- [ ] Finalize HEDD compliance/consent workflows
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- [ ] Identify recruitment agency beta partners
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- [ ] Set up development environment
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- [ ] Brief engineering team on Phase 1 scope
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### Days 4-7: API Access Requests
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- [ ] Email HEDD, GMC, NMC with API access requests
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- [ ] Register on beta platforms where available
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- [ ] Prepare scraper fallbacks for development
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### Days 8-21: Development (Parallel Tracks)
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- **Track 1:** HEDD integration (lead engineer)
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- **Track 2:** Healthcare registers (secondary engineer)
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- **Track 3:** Companies House enhancement (tertiary)
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- **Track 4:** Timeline enhancement (parallel)
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### Days 22-28: Beta Testing
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- [ ] Deploy to test environment
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- [ ] Onboard beta partner agencies
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- [ ] Collect feedback on UX/value
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- [ ] Iterate on flag messaging
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### Days 29-30: Preparation for Public Launch
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- [ ] Final testing & QA approval
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- [ ] Marketing assets prepared
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- [ ] Pricing finalized
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- [ ] Customer support workflows documented
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---
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## Recommended Reading Order
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**For executives/investors (20 minutes total):**
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1. EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5 min)
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2. UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md → Market Opportunity + Financials sections (10 min)
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3. UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md → Overview + Ranked Feature List (5 min)
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**For product/engineering teams (90 minutes total):**
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1. EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5 min)
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2. UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md (30 min - full read)
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3. PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md (40 min - full read)
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4. API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md (15 min - reference)
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**For detailed implementation (3-4 hours for engineers):**
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1. PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md (40 min - detailed read)
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2. API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md (30 min - full read)
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3. Code examples in PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md (60-90 min - study)
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4. UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md → Implementation Examples (30 min)
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---
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## Questions & Decision Points
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### For Product Leadership
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1. **Commitment:** Can we allocate 2 engineers full-time for 8 weeks?
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2. **Partnerships:** Will we sponsor API access requests to HEDD, GMC, NMC?
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3. **Revenue Model:** Approve tiered pricing (Free/Pro/Enterprise)?
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4. **Timeline:** Can we launch beta by Week 5?
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5. **International:** After UK success, should we expand to Ireland/Australia?
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### For Engineering
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1. **Resources:** Do we have backend capacity starting immediately?
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2. **Technical:** Any concerns with HEDD/GMC/NMC integration approach?
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3. **Alternatives:** Any preference on API vs. scraper approach for health registers?
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4. **Testing:** Do we have QA capacity for Phase 1 scope?
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### For Sales/Marketing
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1. **Positioning:** Are we confident "degree verification" is primary differentiator?
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2. **Channels:** Should we prioritize direct sales or partnerships?
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3. **Pricing:** Does £49/Professional tier feel right for target market?
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4. **Beta:** Can we identify 3-5 recruitment agency beta partners by Week 2?
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---
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## Success Criteria (End of Phase 1)
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### Must-Haves
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- ✅ HEDD integration live (real-time + manual review tracking)
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- ✅ Timeline fraud detection enhanced
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- ✅ Companies House director verification working
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- ✅ GMC/NMC healthcare checks live
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- ✅ 500+ public signups
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- ✅ 10%+ weekly active check rate
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### Nice-to-Haves
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- ✅ 85%+ user satisfaction score
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- ✅ Media/analyst coverage
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- ✅ 5+ paying customers (revenue: £2-5K MRR)
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- ✅ Documented case studies
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### Failure Indicators (Red Flags)
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- ❌ <100 signups after public launch
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- ❌ HEDD/GMC access denied with no scraper backup
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- ❌ >5% API error rate
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- ❌ <50% feature adoption
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---
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## File Manifest
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```
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/mnt/d/Git/TrueCV/
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├── EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md (5-page exec overview)
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├── UK_FEATURE_PRIORITIZATION.md (30-page detailed prioritization)
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├── PHASE1_TECHNICAL_IMPLEMENTATION.md (60-page technical specs + code)
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├── UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md (40-page market + GTM strategy)
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├── API_RESOURCES_AND_CONTACTS.md (20-page API integration guide)
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└── README_UK_STRATEGY.md (this file - navigation guide)
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```
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---
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## Version History
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**v1.0 - January 2026**
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- Initial UK market strategy & implementation plan
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- 4 comprehensive strategy documents
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- Phase 1 technical specifications
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- API integration guide
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- Ready for Q1 2026 execution
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---
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## Contact & Support
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**For questions about this strategy:**
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- Product Lead: [Name] - Overall strategy & market analysis
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- Engineering Lead: [Name] - Technical feasibility & architecture
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- API Integration: [Name] - HEDD, GMC, NMC coordination
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**For strategy updates:**
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These documents will be updated quarterly with:
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- Market feedback from beta partners
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- API integration progress
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- Competitive landscape changes
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- Revised financial projections
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- Phase 2 feature updates
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---
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## Appendix: Key Definitions
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**HEDD:** Higher Education Degree Datacheck - UK's official degree verification service (140+ universities)
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**GMC:** General Medical Council - UK regulator for doctors (~250K registered)
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**NMC:** Nursing and Midwifery Council - UK regulator for nurses/midwives (~700K registered)
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**Companies House:** UK company registration authority - maintains register of 3.4M companies + directors
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**Timeline Fraud:** Employment/education date inconsistencies (overlaps, gaps, sequential issues)
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**TAM:** Total Addressable Market - theoretical maximum revenue if 100% market capture
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**SAM:** Serviceable Available Market - realistic segment we can target
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**SOM:** Serviceable Obtainable Market - Year 1 revenue target
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**CAC:** Customer Acquisition Cost - avg. cost to acquire one paying customer
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**ARPU:** Average Revenue Per User - avg. monthly/annual revenue per customer
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**LTV:CAC:** Customer lifetime value to acquisition cost ratio (healthy SaaS: >3:1)
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---
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## License & Confidentiality
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This strategy document is internal to TrueCV and contains commercially sensitive information including:
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- Market sizing & financial projections
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- Competitive positioning
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- Product roadmap
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- API integration details
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**Distribution:** Product team, engineering, leadership only
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---
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END OF DOCUMENT
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**Last Updated:** January 20, 2026
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**Next Review:** April 1, 2026 (Post-Phase 1 Launch)
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