Improve report readability and add score breakdown
- Add Score Breakdown section showing how score is calculated - Convert variable-style flag names to readable titles (e.g. UnverifiedDirectorClaim -> Unverified Director Claim) - Deduplicate flags in report display for existing reports - Make verification notes more user-friendly - Add "How Scoring Works" explanation panel Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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UK_MARKET_STRATEGY.md
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# TrueCV UK Market Strategy & Product Roadmap
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**Document Date:** January 2026
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**Focus:** UK CV verification market positioning
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**Horizon:** 12-month growth plan
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---
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## Market Opportunity
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### Problem Statement
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**UK CV fraud costs employers £4.2B+ annually** and is accelerating:
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- **1 in 5 candidates** claim false university degrees (Cifas, 2025)
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- **40% of CV embellishments** relate to qualifications
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- **24% of screened CVs** fail verification (Reed Screening, 2025)
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- **AI-generated fraud emerging:** Deepfakes, synthetic identities, proxy interviews now feasible
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- **Regulatory risk:** Companies failing due diligence face legal liability in regulated sectors
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**Traditional Pre-Employment Screening is Broken:**
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- Manual background checks take 5-10 days
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- Education verification requires contacting universities individually (10 days+)
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- Professional registration checks vary by profession with no central access
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- No integrated view across employment, education, and professional credentials
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---
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## Market Size & Addressable Opportunity
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### TAM (Total Addressable Market)
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**UK Recruitment Market Segment:**
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- **190,000 recruitment companies** in UK (2024)
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- **~3,500+ recruiting via dedicated screening tools**
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- **Estimated £2.8B spent on background screening annually**
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### SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market)
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**TrueCV Target Segment:**
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- Mid-market recruitment agencies (50-500 staff): ~800 companies
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- Corporate HR departments (100+ employees): ~15,000 companies
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- Specialist vertical recruiters (healthcare, finance, legal): ~2,500 companies
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- **Total TAM:** ~18,300 potential customers
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**Estimated SAM value at £180/customer/year:** ~£3.3M annually
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### SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market) - Year 1
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- **Target:** 50-100 customers at £50-200/month (various tiers)
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- **Projected revenue:** £30-240K in Year 1
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- **Growth trajectory:** Doubling annually if market adoption strong
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---
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## Competitive Landscape
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### Current Competitors
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| Competitor | Coverage | Strength | Weakness |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| **Workable** | ATS + basic screening | Broad platform | No CV verification focus |
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| **Deel** | Global hiring + screening | Compliance authority | Not UK-focused; expensive |
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| **Checkr** | Background checks + DBS | Scale and integrations | No CV-specific verification |
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| **Verifile** | Pre-employment screening | Established relationships | Traditional manual process |
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| **Veriff** | Identity verification | Strong deepfake tech | Not employment-focused |
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### TrueCV Differentiation
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| Feature | TrueCV | Workable | Deel | Checkr | Verifile |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| **Degree Verification (HEDD)** | ✅ Q1 2026 | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
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| **Healthcare Register Checks** | ✅ Q1 2026 | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
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| **Timeline Fraud Detection** | ✅ Q1 2026 | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
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| **Director Verification** | ✅ Q1 2026 | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
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| **Companies House API** | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
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| **Professional Bodies** | ✅ Q2 2026 | ❌ | ❌ | Partial | Partial |
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| **DBS Integration** | ✅ Q3 2026 | ❌ | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ |
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**Key Advantage:** *First-to-market with CV-specific, UK-integrated verification stack*
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---
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## Product Strategy
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### Phase 1 (Q1 2026): MVP Launch - "The Verified CV"
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**Positioning:** "Every UK degree verified. Every timeline verified. Every claim validated."
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**Core Features (8 weeks):**
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1. HEDD degree verification (real-time + manual review tracking)
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2. Timeline fraud detection (overlaps, gaps, education-employment sequencing)
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3. Companies House director verification
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4. GMC/NMC healthcare register checks
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5. Enhanced CV parsing (education/employment entity linking)
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**Target Customer:** Medium recruitment agencies (50-200 hiring/year)
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**Pricing Model:**
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- **Freemium:** 3 free CV checks/month (companies house + timeline)
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- **Professional:** £49/month - Unlimited checks + HEDD verification
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- **Enterprise:** £199/month - Pro features + API access + custom integrations
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**Launch Strategy:**
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- Partner with 3-5 recruitment agencies for beta testing (Week 2-4)
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- Launch public beta (Week 5)
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- GA release (Week 8)
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- Press/analyst outreach highlighting fraud prevention angle
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**Success Metrics:**
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- 500+ signups in first 4 weeks
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- 10%+ weekly active check rate
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- 85%+ feature satisfaction (NPS >40)
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---
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### Phase 2 (Q2 2026): Professional Bodies Expansion
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**Positioning:** "Verify degrees. Verify certifications. Verify everything."
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**New Features:**
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1. ICAEW accountant registration checks
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2. SRA solicitor registration checks
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3. IET engineer registration checks
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4. RIBA architect registration checks
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5. GOV.UK regulated profession enrichment (API layer)
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**Target Market Expansion:**
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- Financial services recruiting
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- Legal recruiting
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- Engineering recruiting
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- Niche vertical specialists
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**Business Impact:**
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- +40% monthly active users
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- +3x engagement (more verifications per customer)
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- +2x ARPU (professional tier premium)
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**Pricing:** Professional tier → £79/month; Enterprise → £249/month
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---
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### Phase 3 (Q3 2026): Compliance & Regulatory
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**Positioning:** "Full employment verification. Complete compliance confidence."
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**New Features:**
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1. HMRC payroll verification (partnership model)
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2. DBS check integration (partnership + commission)
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3. Right-to-Work verification API
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4. Audit trail & compliance reporting
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5. Batch processing API
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**Target Markets:**
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- Large corporate HR departments
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- Pre-employment screening agencies
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- Temp/staffing agencies (compliance-heavy)
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**Business Model Evolution:**
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- Per-check commission on DBS (£5-15 per check)
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- HMRC verification licensing (custom pricing)
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- API/platform access (£500-2,000/month)
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---
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## Go-To-Market Strategy
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### Sales Channels
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#### Channel 1: Direct Sales (Lead)
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- Target recruitment agency owners (LinkedIn outreach)
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- HR directors at 100+ employee companies
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- Sales pitch: "Reduce hiring risk. Verify every claim. In minutes."
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- Expected conversion: 5-8% from qualified leads
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- Sales cycle: 2-4 weeks
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#### Channel 2: Partnerships
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- Integrate with ATS platforms (Workable, Bullhorn, Lever)
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- White-label for existing background check providers
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- API marketplace (Zapier, Make, etc.)
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- Expected impact: +30% user acquisition annually
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#### Channel 3: Content & SEO
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- Blog: "UK CV Fraud Patterns" (targeting "CV verification UK" search)
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- Case studies: "How we caught 18 fake degrees in Q1"
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- Thought leadership: Webinars on fraud detection for HR
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- Expected impact: +20% organic users
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#### Channel 4: Vertical Specialists
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- Healthcare recruiter outreach (GMC/NMC checks as entry)
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- Financial services (ICAEW verification)
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- Legal recruiting (SRA verification)
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- Expected impact: +25% high-value customers
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### Marketing Messaging
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**Tagline:** "Hire with Confidence. Verify with TrueCV."
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**Core Messages:**
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1. **For Recruiters:** "Catch 90% of degree fraud in seconds. One-click HEDD verification."
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2. **For HR Teams:** "Complete CV validation pipeline. Reduce hiring risk by 70%."
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3. **For Compliance:** "Full audit trail. DBS integration. Regulatory confidence."
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**Proof Points:**
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- "Trusted by 5+ UK recruitment agencies in first 30 days"
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- "1 in 5 candidates have false degrees — we find them"
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- "Average savings: £8,000 per bad hire prevented"
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---
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## Pricing Strategy
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### Tier Analysis
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| Tier | Users | Monthly | Annual | Features |
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| **Free** | Solo recruiters | £0 | £0 | 3 CV checks, Companies House |
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| **Professional** | Small agencies | £49 | £490 | Unlimited checks, HEDD, Timeline |
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| **Enterprise** | Large orgs | £199 | £1,990 | API access, custom integrations, DBS |
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| **API/Platform** | Integration partners | £500-2K | £6-24K | Batch processing, white-label |
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### Unit Economics (Target - Year 2)
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- **Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC):** £150-300 (organic/partner-led)
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- **Average Revenue Per User (ARPU):** £60-120/month (mix of tiers)
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- **Payback Period:** 2-4 months
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- **Gross Margin:** 75-80% (SaaS model)
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- **LTV:CAC Ratio:** 4:1+ (healthy SaaS)
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---
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## Organizational Requirements
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### Team Structure (12-month horizon)
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**Now (Q1):**
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- 2 Backend Engineers (full-time on Phase 1)
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- 1 QA Engineer
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- 1 Product Manager
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- 1 Marketing/Growth Lead
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**Q2 Addition:**
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- +1 Full-stack Engineer (vertical expansion)
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- +1 Sales/BD Lead (partnership development)
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**Q3 Addition:**
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- +1 Customer Success Manager (onboarding)
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- +1 Part-time Data Analyst (metrics/LTV)
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---
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## Key Risks & Mitigations
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| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation |
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| **HEDD API access delayed** | Medium | High | Use web portal integration; request API access in parallel |
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| **NHS/GMC scraping blocked** | Low | Medium | Request official API access proactively; provide value-add |
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| **Regulatory gatekeeping** | Medium | Medium | Build partnerships early; engage with regulators directly |
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| **DBS/HMRC integration delays** | Medium | Medium | Partner with established vendors (Verifile, DDC) handling compliance |
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| **Market adoption slower than expected** | Medium | Medium | Focus on high-value verticals first (healthcare, finance); expand TAM gradually |
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| **Competitor response** | Medium | Medium | Maintain first-mover advantage; deepen integrations; expand internationally (Ireland, Australia next) |
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---
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## Success Metrics (12-Month Goals)
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### Business Metrics
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- **Revenue:** £250K+ annualized (Mix of Professional/Enterprise)
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- **Customers:** 50-75 paying customers
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- **Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR):** £20K+
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- **CAC Payback:** <4 months
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- **NPS:** >50 (positive)
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### Product Metrics
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- **HEDD Verification Accuracy:** >98% match rate
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- **Timeline Detection Rate:** 85%+ of actual gaps/overlaps caught
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- **Directorship Verification:** 95%+ accuracy (vs. Companies House records)
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- **Feature Adoption:** 80%+ of Professional tier customers using HEDD
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- **API Uptime:** 99.9%
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### Market Metrics
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- **Brand Awareness:** 15%+ of recruitment agencies aware of TrueCV
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- **Market Share:** 0.5-1% of addressable recruitment screening market
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- **Vertical Penetration:** 3%+ of healthcare recruiters, 2%+ financial recruiters
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---
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## Financial Projections
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### Conservative Scenario (50 customers by end-of-year)
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**Revenue Breakdown:**
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- 30 × Professional tier at £49/mo: £1,470/mo
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- 15 × Enterprise tier at £199/mo: £2,985/mo
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- 5 × API/Platform at £1,000/mo: £5,000/mo
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- **Total MRR (Dec 2026):** £9,455
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- **Annualized:** £113,460
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**Costs:**
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- Engineering (2 FTE): £150K/year
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- Infrastructure/APIs: £20K/year
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- Sales/Marketing: £30K/year
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- Operations: £20K/year
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- **Total Cost:** £220K/year
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**Result:** Break-even at ~24 customers; profitable at 50+ customers
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### Growth Scenario (100 customers by end-of-year)
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- **MRR (Dec 2026):** £18,910
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- **Annualized Revenue:** £226,920
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- **Gross Margin:** 75% = £170K+ operational profit
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---
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## Next 30 Days Action Plan
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### Week 1-2: Preparation
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- [ ] Contact HEDD for API access / partner discussions
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- [ ] Reach out to GMC/NMC about verification APIs
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- [ ] Identify 5 recruitment agency beta partners
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- [ ] Finalize HEDD compliance & consent workflows
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### Week 2-4: Development
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- [ ] Complete HEDD integration (see Phase 1 technical doc)
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- [ ] GMC/NMC scraper development
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- [ ] Enhanced timeline analysis
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- [ ] Companies House director verification
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### Week 3-4: Beta & Validation
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- [ ] Beta launch with 3-5 agencies
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- [ ] Collect feedback on UX/value
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- [ ] Measure fraud detection accuracy
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- [ ] Iterate on flag messaging/severity
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### Week 4+: Go-to-Market
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- [ ] Public launch announcement
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- [ ] Initial outreach to 20-30 qualified prospects
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- [ ] Content marketing (first blog post live)
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- [ ] Track signup rate & activation
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---
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## Long-Term Vision (2-3 Years)
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**Expansion Opportunities Beyond UK:**
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### Ireland (Natural Extension)
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- Similar legal framework to UK
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- HEDD equivalent exists (HEA)
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- Revenue opportunity: +£50-100K annually
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### Australia/New Zealand
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- English-speaking markets
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- Similar professional regulation frameworks
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- Revenue opportunity: +£150-300K annually
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### EU Markets (Longer-term)
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- Different regulatory landscape (more complex)
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- ENIC-NARIC degree verification network
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- Professional body registration varies by country
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### Vertical Integrations
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- HR software integrations (Workday, SAP SuccessFactors)
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- Talent acquisition platforms (multi-tool suites)
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- Compliance software (audit logging, reporting)
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---
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## Conclusion
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TrueCV addresses a massive UK market problem (£4.2B+ annual cost from CV fraud) with a focused, integrated solution. By launching with HEDD degree verification + timeline fraud detection in Q1 2026, we capture first-mover advantage in a gap no competitor fills.
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**The opportunity:** Become the UK's trusted CV verification layer for recruitment, reducing fraud while accelerating hiring processes.
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**The path:** Start with core features, expand vertically into professional bodies, then horizontally into compliance/regulatory, then internationally.
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**The outcome:** Build a defensible, recurring revenue business with 10-15% of the UK recruitment market within 3 years.
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---
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## Appendix: Customer Personas
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### Persona 1: Agency Owner (Mid-Market)
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- **Name:** Sarah, 48, runs recruitment agency (80 staff)
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- **Problem:** Wasting 2-3 hours per hire verifying degrees manually
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- **Budget:** £3K-8K/year on screening tools
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- **Decision-making:** Speed & cost focus; wants manual verification eliminated
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- **Buying signal:** "Can you reduce our verification time from 5 days to 5 minutes?"
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### Persona 2: Corporate HR Manager
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- **Name:** James, 35, Head of HR at financial services firm (200 employees)
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- **Problem:** Regulatory liability; reputational risk from bad hires
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- **Budget:** £20K-50K/year on compliance & screening
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- **Decision-making:** Compliance & audit trail critical; automation secondary
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- **Buying signal:** "We need proof every hire has verified credentials for audits."
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### Persona 3: Specialist Vertical Recruiter
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- **Name:** Dr. Lisa, 42, healthcare recruitment founder (20 staff)
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- **Problem:** Need to verify GMC/NMC registration quickly; manual checks break hiring velocity
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- **Budget:** £2K-5K/year (cost-sensitive)
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- **Decision-making:** Speed & accuracy for regulated professions
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- **Buying signal:** "If you verify healthcare pros instantly, we're in."
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---
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## References & Data Sources
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- [CIFAS CV Fraud Report](https://www.cifas.org.uk/newsroom/1-in-5-lie-about-uni-degree-cv-fraud)
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- [Reed Screening CV Verification Data](https://www.reed.com/)
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- [UK Employment Gap Report 2025](https://www.livecareer.co.uk/career-advice/uk-employment-gap-report)
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- [Companies House API Documentation](https://developer.companieshouse.gov.uk/)
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- [HEDD (Higher Education Degree Datacheck)](https://hedd.ac.uk/)
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- [GMC Register](https://www.gmc-uk.org/registration-and-licensing/our-registers)
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- [NMC Register](https://www.nmc.org.uk/registration/search-the-register/)
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